Premier League Predictions: Arsenal to Hold Spurs in North London Derby

Premier League Betting Insights: North London Derby & Wolves vs Newcastle

Our football betting expert, Jones Knows, returns to provide insightful analysis on two key matches in the Premier League: the highly anticipated North London Derby and a crucial clash between Wolves and Newcastle. Here’s a detailed look at what to expect and the best betting angles.

North London Derby: Tottenham vs Arsenal

Scheduled for Sunday at 2 PM, the North London Derby, featuring Tottenham and Arsenal, will be broadcast live on Sky Sports. This match is particularly important given the current selection issues Arsenal faces in midfield, especially with the absence of Martin Odegaard and Declan Rice. Manager Mikel Arteta is likely to adopt a cautious, tactical approach akin to that of a Champions League knockout game, aiming to secure at least a point in a challenging atmosphere.

Historically, Arsenal has demonstrated a strong performance on the road this season, amassing an impressive 28 points from a possible 30 during their away fixtures in 2024. They have yet to trail in away games this year, showcasing a formidable defense that has only conceded three goals in their last ten matches.

Frustrating Spurs' Attack

To combat the likely attacking force of Tottenham, it’s essential for Arsenal to defend tenaciously and effectively neutralize Spurs' efforts to build plays from the flanks. Tottenham has shown a propensity to take a high number of shots, though their expected goals statistics indicate less success in converting those shots into meaningful chances. This suggests a tactical benefit for Arsenal's defensive setup.

Betting Prediction

Jones Knows predicts a low-scoring affair, potentially ending in a 1-1 draw. The odds of 11/8 for under 2.5 goals with Sky Bet represent excellent value for this match.

Wolves vs Newcastle

On Sunday at 4:30 PM, Wolves will face Newcastle in another exciting Premier League clash, also available on Sky Sports. The anticipated midfield battle promises a competitive encounter, highlighted by Newcastle’s aggressive trio: Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, and possibly Sandro Tonali. Known for their tenacity, this midfield group collectively commits a high volume of fouls, averaging 5.8 fouls per 90 minutes last season.

In their recent Premier League campaigns, Joelinton and Guimaraes have continued to show their disruptive tendencies, with a combined total of 18 fouls in their outings this season alone.

Fouls and Betting Value

Given the physical nature of Newcastle’s midfield, keep an eye on Wolves midfielder Mario Lemina. He has a tendency to draw fouls from opposing players and has been fouled 15 times across his last 14 appearances for Wolves, including two fouls in their recent match against Nottingham Forest. The odds of 7/2 for Lemina to be fouled twice present a strong value proposition.

Score Prediction

Jones Knows also anticipates a 1-1 scoreline in this clash.

Jones Knows' Best Bets of the Weekend

• Tottenham vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 goals at 11/8 (Sky Bet)
• Wolves vs Newcastle: Mario Lemina to be fouled twice at 7/2 (Sky Bet)

As the weekend unfolds, these insights and betting angles can guide you in making informed decisions for your Premier League wagers. Good luck!